Coming off a 56-31 win over their division rival, Oakland Raiders, the Chiefs return back home with a playoff berth, as they move to 11-3.
Still with 2 games remaining, the Chiefs have a lot to play for, when Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts come to town, in the Chiefs final home game of the regular season.
Since Denver and New England both lost last week, both the Chiefs and Colts have an outside chance at a first-round bye in the playoffs, with a little bit of help.
If neither team gets any help, it is very likely that we could see this matchup again in a few weeks in the Wildcard Round, with the Chiefs going to Indianapolis.
But before we get carried away, let’s dive into this matchup, and see what each team has to offer in this week’s matchup.
The 9-5 Colts come into town with their division locked up led by second year quarterback Andrew Luck. Luck has thrown for 3,299 yards and 21 touchdowns. His favorite target, T.Y Hilton in the absence of Reggie Wayne, hauling in 66 catches for 876 yards, and 5 touchdowns. Donald Brown leads the sub-par ground game with 80 carries for 427 yards and 4 touchdowns.
Indianapolis heads into this contest having beat up the Houston Texans 25-3. That may be good news for Chiefs, as the Colts have alternated wins and losses the last 6 weeks, dating back to November 10th.
If the Colts want to end that unfortunate streak, it will all start on the offensive end, with the man under center. As dominate as the Chiefs have been, particularly in the first 9 weeks, they allow an average of 251 yard per game to opposing quarterbacks.
Chiefs also are vulnerable to big plays, giving up 47 plays of 20 yards or more in the last 2 weeks.
That could pose for some trouble as Luck who averages nearly 250 yards a game will look to exploit the defense, with some big plays.
Kansas City Chiefs
The other man under center, Alex Smith has racked up 3,160 yards and has tossed 23 touchdowns. But Jamaal Charles will get more attention, as he not only leads the ground game with 1,181 yards and 11 touchdowns, but he is Smith’s favorite target through the air as well. Charles has hauled in 65 catches for 655 yards and 7 touchdowns.
Look for Charles to be the focal point of the offense once again, in last year’s meeting against the Colts, Charles led the way with 22 carries for 226 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City went on to lose that game 20-13, thanks to three turnovers.
Chiefs won’t be so giving this year, as they are the NFL’s best in turnover differential, with plus-21, thanks to 35 takeaways by the Chiefs defense.
The Colts and Chiefs are both tied in the NFL in fewest turnovers with 14.
Overall I expect this game to be a good one, between two playoff caliber football teams, in what most likely won’t be the first. The Chiefs will look to pick up their first “quality win” against a playoff type football team. Thanks to the home field advantage and likely snowy conditions, I give the Chiefs a significant edge. Chiefs win 35 – 20
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